caesar novus
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Posts posted by caesar novus
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-- (1618 – 1648 GW) – RP – (1688 – 1721 GW) – RP – (1756 – 1763 GW) – RP – (1789 – 1815 GW) – RP –
We may easily continue backwards down to the Roman Empire, but for the sake of brevity I guess a cyclic pattern is already evident.
Wow, that is a really frigging interesting way of examining the forest vs getting bogged down in the nuances of trees. I wonder how it extrapolates to now and the future. I suppose we may be 2/3 into a period of Relative Peace, with only some low level cycling of war lust (witness the temporary dip after Viet Nam, then revival).
There are some details I might nitpic along the lines of is it really sociology at work when a small ruling elite works thru ambitions probably incomprehensible to the peasant majority. But OK, that may be sociology of the inteligensia, or at least the informed and able. And pure democracy may be overrated; I hear the US founding fathers hated Greek style direct democracy and strongly preferred Roman inspired representative democracy with gravitas. In fact some lecturer recently claimed the US was uniquely blessed by evolving at the boundary of renaissance and enlightenment so not to go too far in direction of (mob democracy = enlightenment?).
And circling back to backstabbing old Stalin, I don't see how this applies. I viscerally hate that guy... for exterminating more millions than Hitler, I think. One source said he also gave key support to Mao's advancement, who also starved millions. I can't believe that Putin has arranged to whitewash Stalin's record and put praise in latest textbooks. There used to be a lone statue of Stalin in the Kremlin, which I once spontaneously cursed at and scared the tourists away (just out of earshot of commie guards).
Another observation in the late commie days gives me pause about the viability of a post war conquest of Russia. When people crossed Moscow streets in underground passages (so party limousines didn't have to slow down for pedestrians) you could get a pretty intimate reading of their moods. If a police officer was there, they would be frozen in tense expressions. If just a military officer was walking along, it would all be warm smiles - him basking in adulation with his cartoonish array of medals. So unless you could do a miracle of surgical regime change, I think Soviet military under attack from the west would have fanatical support from the populace (Ukraine et al may be exeptions?)
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All in all, it seems evident that sociology has not been given here the place in History that it deserves.
Historical processes (past or ongoing) are essentially the product of the collective contributions of countless hands and minds across decades, centuries or even millennia; when dispassionately analyzed, the real personal influence of even the most notable rulers is almost always rather small.
Truly earthbreaking History-bending characters are utterly exceptional; Herr Hitler may have qualified, but hardly the mediocre Wilhelm II of Hohenzollern.
For example, the end of the Tsarism is easily explained from the absolute destabilization by the Great War of a centuries-long feudal-like system already bent beyond the local peasantry survival capabilities , with or without comrade Ulyanov (aka Lenin).
Even more, far more radical characters were already within the Empire, notoriously comrade Djughashvili (aka Stalin).
An analogous case can be made for the genesis of the Great War or the Fall of the Kuomingtang, simply too long for being presented here.
It's true that socio-undercurrents are key, but they don't directly drive events. They are more a fuel waiting for a match. The resulting inferno can take very different directions. The Czar not only could have more competantly utilized ww1 to build his support, but the revolutionaries that did ultimately triumph could have a quite different ideology than bolshevik (didn't Lenin despise Stalin anyway?).
And sure, the "great man" theory fails in making events unfold according to his dictates (Hitler, Napolean, and Caesar for a while tho), but even a flake like Willy2 can trigger events in a "unique" direction. Earlier I was hoping to give examples from some Hew Strachan lectures and documentaries other than Willy2, but I couldn't find the references. I believe he said the actual go/no-go decision that put ww1 (begatting ww2 and cold war) into play was misteps by the German foreign minister, who Willy2 failed to leash in.
Furthermore Hew talked about the sociology of ww1 as being grossly misunderstood today due to propaganda campaign in the early 60's by peace activists in London. Their ww1 poets criticizing that war were ignored at the time, vs poets praising the national defense angle were the popular ones. I don't know how he resolves that with the French soldiers going on strike, and similar actions by Russians, Italians and a bit by Germans (his live talk indicated some disagreement with the famous documentary series he consulted on).
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I guess I shouldn't leave this as an unexplained digression. War plans aren't statements of intent, but interesting learning exercises that can reveal opportunities or make contingencies "unthinkable". I heard a talk from a naval war college prof about the referenced war plans being paired up, to reflect how a second opportunist power will open an additional front.
I believe it was the combination of plan orange and red that led to apocalyptic consequences estimated for the US. Well, so what; why would Japan and the UK attack? Well that scenario became more realistic in 1941 when it became conceivable that Germany might be able to reflag the British global navy and support the Japanese navy. So maybe this was behind the "altruistic" US policy of defending Europe with priority above the defense of Pacific?
Anyway, funny how all these issues seem to originate from Kaiser/Caesar Wilhelm2. He not only transported Lenin from exile but supported him with money and propaganda when at first Lenin had a poor reception in Russia. (It was a shame that Churchill's original more feasible plan to attack thru Turkey and support the eastern/Russian front was modified to one with doomed tactics.) So the Kaiser begat communist USSR, just as republic of Ireland, and almost a Mexican republic of Texas (Zimmermann telegram).
And maybe he enabled WW2 and cold war by:
- Surrendering WW1 a few weeks too soon, before the German populace really comprehended recent military setbacks, and in particular Hitler who had been knocked out of action by wounds just before major turnaround.
- Caused UK and possibly France to finance the war in a disasterous delayed-action effect (bonds) that recent economists think was a root cause of the depression. It was the depression that revived Hitlers political career, after being treated as a streeet thug earlier.
- So weakened the French military that even with superior equipment they folded under Hitlers invasion. This gave Hitler a teflon halo which the German military could not fight against when they considered his further invasions looney (I hear even the invasion of France had the army poised for a coup if it didn't go well).
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Mr Berlusconi told escort Patrizia D'Addario of 30 Phoenician tombs at his Sardinia villa.
The tombs date from 300BC, a man said to be Mr Berlusconi was heard saying.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8168085.stm seems to put this happy discovery in a negative light. I gather these were Cartagenians who died just a few decades too early to be victims of the Roman invasion of Sardinia.
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Spanish experts, including those organized by Capa's brother have carefully judged his famous "Falling Militiaman" as staged for the purpose of partisan propaganda. They do not comment on the veracity of his other famous war shots such as from WW2, Palestine, Indochina:
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/articl...T8ZXXAD99K6MCO0 What must have been behind the long suspicion is the stereotyped stagey look of the thing - like what a child might think getting shot is like rather than a doctor or an eyewitness to similar things.
For an earlier contrary opinion, go to the temple of loony victimology (thanks again my dear emperor Constantine)... the ever affable and reasonable seeming PBS from it's American Masters documentary http://www.pbs.org/wnet/americanmasters/ep...ove-and-war/47/ Read the tail end of their conclusion; it just reeks of bias, ideology, and the opposite of fact-weighing judgement.
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trying to dismiss quite hard evidence against the authenticity of the Map:
- the wormholes (presumably other researchers found them incompatible with the book(s) with which the map was bound).
- the anachronic use of titanium in the ink.
- the radiocarbon dating to the 1440s (previous to Columbus but centuries ahead from the Vikings).
- the lack of provenance.
The following 2005/2008 source made me chuckle in a section dismantling the NOVA science TV program attack on the Vinland Map (VM) as science fiction. Nowdays I find NOVA unwatchable due to their endless mangling of science to promote hysterical global warming themes. Anyway, here are other sections re quoted points above. It's not all one sided, as they do mention the map having to be considered guilty until proven innocent (core principle of French/Napoleonic justice?)
Painter and Skelton were also among the experts at the British Library (then a part of the British Museum) who examined the map. They were equally skeptical at that time, and became enthusiastic proponents only after the wormholes in the VM, TR, and Speculum were later shown to align.<...>
Since the writing on the map has been actually chewed through by the bookworms, the hypothetical forger would have had to have acquired live bookworms per Lopez (PVMC, p. 31 n. 1), and placed them together with the freshly drawn map in its original configuration between the SH+TR front cover and the SH in order to generate the aligning wormholes. He or she then unaccountably rebound the VM+TR separately from the SH in order to prevent the alignment of the carefully made wormholes from being noticed except through the impulse purchase of the SH on Marston's part, and then even took the trouble to conceal the aligning holes in the original front cover with a paste-down.
It would be far simpler simply to believe that the map is a genuine 15th century production.
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The anatase titanium dioxide particles found on the Vinland map by Walter and Lucy McCrone (1974, 1988, 1998) and by Katherine Brown and Robin Clark (2002) are consistent with naturally occuring anatase particles appearing in kaolin clays per Charles Weaver (1976) and Enver Murad (1997), could have been produced with medieval technology per Jacqueline Olin (2000, 2003), or could even be due to the conservatorial transfer mechanism proposed by James Enterline (2002). Although the unusual VM ink deserves further study and comparison, there is at present no technical reason to reject its purported age.
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the map purports to be a 15th century Swiss production, and not Viking at all, or even Scandinavian.
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Saenger does raise several troubling issues concerning the provenance of the map. However, if the map was indeed stolen from some library before it was purchased by Witten, that would simply mean that Yale is not its rightful owner. It would not reflect on its authenticity per se.
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Here are more free recordings of audio books, including Roman ones. Just this page (click thru all 19) contains Suetonius and a bunch of Tacitus http://librivox.org/newcatalog/search.php?...&offset=600
The list is growing, and you can volunteer to read more into the database. A spot check revealed pretty good quality of readers, as long as you can accept that substitution of W for R kind of thing. I wonder if that's a modern day equivilent to Hadrian's wall. Some English men (the women don't do it) may be intentionally distinguishing themselves from the bold rolling R of the "barbaric" Scots by going to the other extreme of a babytalk W? For them, WORLD rhymes with RAILROAD... sort of a WE-WOD!
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Can any parallels be drawn between the arrogant and condescending attitude of the present day Anglo-Saxons towards the rest of the world and the attitude of the Romans towards conquered peoples ?FV
To get back to Professor Madden, who was cited in the original post:
Esteemed university professor and best-selling author Thomas F. Madden presents an intriguing series of lectures based on a fascinating premise: that the United States has more in common with the rising Roman Republic than with the declining Roman Empire. The Tiber and the Potomac explores the amazing parallels between history's two most unusual superpowers. Both nations built empires based on trust, skillfully making friends of enemies.Now every once in a while tempers wear thin, but there is still implicit trust. Most of Europe can go flabby with minimal inconvenience for military preparations because they know in a crunch that the blood and wealth of the US will again defend them against any attack. Same for much of the rest of the world - every little indefensible country can party on and get rich, instead of making awkward alliances against the thuggish natural predators of the world, because they know "daddy" is highly motivated to be there for any rescue.
The financial crises is partly an indicator of this. A key root cause was the tidal wave of savings that were built up by developing countries benefiting by the pax Americana and Anglo/Confuco economics. This "success" had the contrary effect of knee-capping conservative investments like bonds, whose return rates plummet if in too much demand. Just for survival, conservative bankers from US to Germany tried out weird ways to leverage bond returns higher or weird links into physical assets bubbled up by the global wall of money.
I believe one of the biggest drains of the $200 billion US taxpayer bailout of AIG is to cover insurance on German bankers reckless purchase of toxic instruments. Unlike the other bailouts, this one (costing maybe $1000 per taxpayer!) may never be recovered by the gov't since AIG stock is going to zero. German landesbanks in particular did this due to overregulation (not under) making conventional investments unworkable. Another sacrifice of heartland America to it's thankless "empire".
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I wonder if architecture and sculpture styles changed significantly during empire days.
For example, I really resonate to Roman sculpture which is supposedly copies of Greek ones (which I don't resonate to and seem "mannered" rather than natural). So I wonder did the Romans pick up where Greece left off and evolve a slightly different style?
I gather their love affair with Greek sculpture and architecture came from their conquest of Siracuse... maybe that colony had a unique style that the Romans picked up and didn't evolve? I realize there is a big pitfall to my uniqueness theory in that perhaps many Roman sculptures were done by Greeks.
Another oddity was that a detailed re-creation of the Baths of Caracula (shown on history channel?) made it look startlingly Byzantine, especially in it's exterior structure. I'm wondering if this late date building is part of an overall evolution which was preceeded by Hadrian "pumpkin-domed" villa, or if styles were relatively static during peak empire days (not counting technology changes, such as for water). A poor reproduction below:
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I question calling Hadrian one of the most extravagant; wasn't there value to most of his expenditures? Tivoli may be an exception, but not as a world beating extravagance. BTW see "heart of italy" aerial documentary on hi def Smithsonian tv channel, which has one of the longest sequences on Hadrians villa from the air. Like most of their programs, it's a bit unpolished, and in this case they chose a hazy/smoggy day to depict Italy from the air.
I was going to make a similar case against the Emperor Wu choice, who spent a lot but gained an empire larger than Rome's. I was going to propose Empress Dowager Cixi who is always castigated for diverting military funds to a summer palace and it's marble boat in particular. This is repeatedly said to weaken China defenses enough to make it eventually fall to Europeans (which would give it negative value for the money).
But I always thought that stupid ornamental ship could hardly cost so much, and it would almost get lost in some Roman villas. Now I see wikipedia paints a much more complex or muddied picture for Cixi, so I am left without a good case. Awaiting more knowlegable replacements... pharaohs?
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It sounds like almost everything new is open on tuesdays only; can anyone point out any exceptions? Please post some pictures... my only visit to Rome will be cursed with a Naples sidetrip on the tuesday (when their museum is closed!).
On a good day, she said, only about a quarter of the approximately 80 security guards assigned to the area are on the job (holidays, illness and days off account for the absences)The Italian gov't should sponsor and unionize plumbers and barbers. So for a haircut or a faucet repair you will end up hiring 4 people in order for 1 to appear, and stimulate the phoney-balony economy. Well, maybe better than the Greek national museum guards, who shut down the entire museum during normal hours the first time I arrived, for a union meeting or something.
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Ahh, if only the Islamic world was half as self doubtingly reflective as the self demonizing western intelligencia. Well, it may be the west-electuals that are out of kilter; everyone should carry some minimal level of cultural self esteem, or else it would be logical for them to swap cultures. Imagine having a member of a counterpart culture always apologizing to you for everything... would smack of them being patronizing to you or feeling too superior to have to worry about their own valid interests.
Me, I'm ready to show some solidarity with the neanderthal brotherhood by selling off my only non-nonfiction book "Andalusian Poems" (from the Arabic era). Wow, since I bought it long ago at a great translators reading, it got rapturous online reviews and skyrocketed in price http://www.godine.com/isbn.asp?isbn=0879238879 . Maybe I should have also grabbed that art book on Mughal architecture that seemed too big to lug home from my India pilgrimage.
What I would like even more is a book that examines the reasons and the roots of the West's misconceptions about the Islamic world. Outside of a few scholarly circles, people still tend to regard Muslim history with a stereotype that doesn't need repeating.In order to provoke thought, let me continue to risk putting the wrong words into someone's mouth. Note you seem to be looking for a stereotypical conclusion of your own, as opposed to the facts which lead to their own conclusion. That is the achilles heel of some modern scholarly work... there is a conclusion based on faith (that the neanderthal sector of your culture is extremely wrong), then the facts are selected or falsified to the opposite-of-neanderthal in hopes of the culture drifting at least to a midpoint (that is more correct than EITHER endpoint).
It's like global warming, where patently and obviously false facts are knowingly repeated by scientists... to pull the culture in the direction they want. The end justifies the means... if they think they can pull the neanderthals in the right direction by falsehoods, they will. Or the gasbagging about everything invented in China first... no matter that gunpowder and guns were nearly useless for hundreds of years until perfected by foreigners, or that other things were reinvented independantly.
In the Iberian collision, I am very rusty but faintly recall some reviews of books along those lines which were not by Bernard Lewis or knee jerk chauvinists, but pointed out there were dynamics that gave the invaders ulterior motives to collude with Christians and Jews, and for the Spanish to be harsh and fearful even after reclaiming the land. I'm not up to speed enough to argue Iberian-specific points, but want to alert y'all that we neanderthals have antennae that pick up being manipulated.
Just before 2001 and instead of enjoying the more typical rewards of free time I took a course on Islam by an Islamic professor. It was so achingly clear we were being patronized... everything was to prove that the Koran was the exact equivilant of not only the most heartwarming passages of the Christian bible, but of modern science itself! No admission of a bit of difference, which I would have grooved on due having an anthropology background, and certainly no admission of the truely ferocious passages in the hadith. Prefer the facts, and some trust that they will be digested towards reasonable conclusions.
Let's recognize that all cultures have their neanderthals, and not demonize ours more than theirs (especially if their actions aren't demonic). And don't propagandize them out of their neanderthality, but shed light in terms of unadorned but contextualized facts rather than risking a blanket of political correctness which seems so everpresent.
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I'm a bit worried about Hadrian's Villa, since Tivoli is straight toward the epicenter and also has precarious high features. That seems one of the few spots on the tourist radar much nearer to the epicenter I would guess; strange how close Abruzzo is to Rome but with quite unfamiliar town names.
Of course most thoughts are for folks who may be trapped, with time running out. Or even the many more with upset stomachs, but no access to bathrooms with running water even in prospect.
I don't know if the Italian "experts" being quoted are correct in saying all deaths were cheaply preventable, and all buildings should have stood with only cracks. I heard the same thing after the Assisi quake, but it could be exagerations. Of course the loss of an entire 1st grade class in Naples 2002 building collapse has been recently ruled criminal.
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/...a-revealed.html shows work that is disproving the myth of Alhambra inscriptions being Koranic or poetry. It's looking that 90% are otherwise, mainly praising the mortals in charge.
I love the physical Alhambra http://www.flickr.com/search/show/?q=alhambra but I think it also reveals nonsense in western politically correct thought. It is held up as a symbol of another cultures refinement and tolerance. But if I understand correctly, it was an exception group escaping to the fringe of a disapproving culture, sort of like Haight Ashbury hippies, or whoever in Las Vegas. I hear Alhambra was a luridly painted den of vice (illicit sex, alcohol?), although haven't been able to confirm it yet.
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When your at the site you can smell the air, see the sky, touch the stone.
I remember a visit to Paestum (in Compania) where the site was choked with tall wildflowers baking in the sunshine and wafting their scent. Olive vendors lined the road, and visiting schoolchildren rang out in peals of laughter. But this had little to do with the site; it's a part of life that I could experience in other places; maybe even near home.
I could hardly see any detail of the main temples, because you are not allowed close, the columns are very wide, and there is no elevated point to look within. Contrast this to a rerun I saw of "Visions of Italy", now on Hi Def tv. They do a helicopter survey from Rome to south of Compania, including looking down on those mysterious Paestum temple floorplans.
Also Pompeii; it showed how common those weird narrow dead end passage ways were, and blocked up closets (to entomb a mother in law alive?). I remember some in person, but now get the big picture. Wow, what a documentary... look for on HDNET reruns.
Sell the TV, go to Italy.It is a long itinerary affected by hotel prices. Their bloated online rates are still ignoring the recession, which I had hoped to negotiate way down in person. But now I may be in competition with earthquake refugees.
So meantime I expect to focus on virtual tourism, along with an excursion to the Roman Villa in Malibu CA (which is free if you arrive by public bus, with all the vagrants and bail jumpers). Good to see the collection before they give it all back to Italy, or before an earthquake catches it at either end. http://tuckerneel.wordpress.com/category/malibu-getty/
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But pretty minor damage, right? Italians are quoted in http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2009/04/07...Italy.html?_r=1 as saying Roman and rennaisance buildings were constructed better for earthquakes than those that followed. If you can't read the link, it says medieval times were too poor to construct well, and that cultural reasons were the issue more recently. They say simple reinforcements like chains could have saved most of the old buildings and modestly better quality control should have saved many new ones... and muse why no action on this quake after quake.
Hmmm, now I recall many Greek sites severely scattered by quake damage, but rarely Roman. I guess the Roman mortar is not only a help, but it is used with a rather extreme ratio of surface area on the brick. Ratio of mortar binding area per unit volume of (flattish) brick being higher than maybe anytime in later history?
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And the estimates are escalating... 100k homeless and 50 dead at NYT report. I hope they carefully look for folks who are trapped in hidden places and savable with quick action; I heard mention of search dogs on the way.
As for the amount of harm in surrounding areas... hopefully this is a "Californian" style magnitude which doesn't transmit strength very widely. The magnitude is posted for the epicenter, and quickly falls away in bedrock widely shattered by previous quakes like CA. Where quakes and cracks are rarer, the damaging energy is more efficiently spread wide IIRC.
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methinks the right question would be which documents SHOULDN'T be added to that list (for example, Mein Kampf).
Mein Kampf becomes more interesting when paired with the draft of it's sequel which has only recently been published in english: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zweites_Buch
It's principles may not have changed, but the recommended strategy in some cases is reversed in Hitlers sequel (esp for USA, somewhat for UK). Suddenly the Nazi strategy and tactics become more clear in how they dynamically operate, if not at all the core motivations.
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I found if I aim an external fan on my laptop, it can keep cool enough to battle my way with that simulator to the far end of Forbidden City (the north, NE, NW), which is just unbelievable in architectural and botanical detail. The southern entrance end has more of a vast, empty, Stalinist feel that needn't delay you (double click arrow key for speed).
I also found that if I switch my vacation from Rome to Beijing, it actually cuts the price more within my budget. Is this so wrong (for a repeat Rome visitor)! Isn't Beijing in spirit like the Roman autocracy of the modern world? Maybe someone will write a simulator for the Roman sites I have missed...
I can actually target a coming military parade (largest in communist history) for which they are already staffing up miniskirted combat squads... If Roman victory parades didn't do this, wouldn't they wish they had thought of it?
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bent pilum by vroma at Budapest National Museum, 1st cent CE
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reportedly said they are willing to consider whether the statue could be returned to Cairo temporarily for display and the study's findings could help determine whether it could safely make the trip.
Beware of such high minded, well meaning gestures in today's cutthroat, activist world. I know of one recent lending to an aggrieved would-be-owner group which turned out to be permanent. They claimed they reburied it where it was originally found, but there was evidence they sold it (I think they keep it on private display). Rush to appeasement can lead to cultural loss by both sides.
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If you mean the viewcount in this thread, i'm sure it undercounts because I sometimes saw reply counts above 0 but with thread views still at 0. Anyway, hoping your blog might end up covering EUR - Museum of the Roman civilization, which I wonder how bad I should feel for missing.
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British Museum should return Roman Sculptures
in Archaeology
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I'm sick of arriving at the British Museum only to find the fine upstairs room or two of Roman sculptures shut off. It seems to be the first section to close if (when) they have a staff shortage. Especially at night hours; it is just hopeless to see them except for some dribs and drabs downstairs (those copies of greek sculptures rather than the emperors, etc).
I modestly propose that they be repatriated to another museum that can appreciate their primary importance to western civilization and the need to be shown. Anywhere in the former Roman empire with no entrance fee; maybe the nearby Wallace collection. The Wallace seems to stick to their hours, vs the B.M. staff seem to take every opportunity to take (paid?) leave.
Not even the Italian museums with their reported 75% absentee rate of guards shut you out as much. I recently visited the majestic Baths of Caracalla where almost the only sign of guards were a pair shutting themselves out of the heat. But they let the small handful of tourist roam the amazing grounds anyway. Also the magnificent Massimo Roman sculpture Museum was fully open and may even be a magnet for guards due to it's almost adaquate a/c.
I would show pictures, but broke my viewfinder and the pix all cut off the head or feet due to mis aiming.